Friday, September 01, 2006

Wed, 30 Aug 2006 16:30:55

Wed, 30 Aug 2006. I'm taking a break at work, reading news.
Abit of a blow to my optimism view today? Not sure..

The Israeli PM Ehud Olmert said that the current ceasefire could be spring board to a "New Reality" between Israel and Lebanon.
I read that and thought.. hmm.. interesting what will be the response..
Abit later I checked some news sites again to see Fouads Siniora response which was interpreted differently by different sites but still was not the "Yes, it could be" response that I would want to hear.

Fouad Siniora said "Let it be clear, we are not seeking any agreement until there is just and comprehensive peace based on the Arab initiative".

But wait a minute.. lets read it again..
Did he say "no way, not now, not ever"? No, he didn't.
ok..

Last week Fouad Siniora condemned Israel for the actions in the war. At the end he mentioned that maybe long time from now, he does not rule an option that things could be very different.
hmm.. condemntation but another different perspective with different tone at the end.

It's not realistic to expect an normalized relations and huge group hug to happen now but perhaps in some time from now, an agreement could be actualized. Normalized relations and that group hug are a bif of wishful thinking from my part.
First need to get to a state-of-play where relations are formalized, rules are agreed between sides, institutions and processes are accepted by both.

What was the initiative that Fouad Siniora was talking about?
Was it the saudian deal from a few years ago?
As far as I learned about Lebanon-Syria relations such an agreement is likely to create a conflict between Lebanon to Assad's regime as was the case in the previous time in which Bashar Assad worked hard to change the wordings of the Saudi proposal to one that would be much more hostile and unlikely to get.
And what is the "comprehensive peace" definition? Surely Siniora understands that Iran/Syria do not stand where Egypt/Jordan/Lebanon stand. And surely not where the Palestinians stand.

However, on the 20th of August Fouad Siniora said "I believe that if Israel uses all its senses and thinks wisely, I think it will be the opportunity,..... .... The opportunity is how to convert what happened in Lebanon-the calamity that was inflicted on Lebanon-to make it an opportunity to move toward real peace," ( http://www.kuwaittimes.net/regional.asp?dismode=article&artid=1567018328 )
Well, I'll leave those words for you to think about.

That's it for now.
Not a blow after all. Far from good but with a chance of something growing in the future.

Not that I'm a great fan of those websites, but just a reminder of Wed, 30 Aug 2006:
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3297677,00.html
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/6F4FAE63-0166-4503-86CB-BAB1B002D1AD.htm

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