Friday, September 01, 2006

What's the time now? It's almost..

Sure.. everybody wants this illusive ideal of peace on earth..
But in our real world, what we need to get to is to another formal agreement in the region.
Israel has peace agreements with Egypt and Jordan.
Does this mean there are no conflicts between them? No.
What it does mean is that the conflict are solved in diplomatical means.
Israel, Egypt and Jordan all respect those agreements and this is the reason why the relations are very stable between those countries.
To set realistic expectation from any agreement or political system I talk about; need to be said that no system can be perfect. Even in a balanced political system there will rifts and conflicts.

Time to get another one!
Israel-Lebanon seems the best bet. Even if a long distance one.

Wooohaa! am I being blind?! A war has just ended.. too many people lost their lives.. so much pain was caused.. and I dare to speak about agreements?
is that too.. optimistic?
Well.. in a rare combination which I see as realism and optimism I believe one can get to such a conclusion - an agreement is required hence an agreement is possible.

Lebanese should stay united in their nationality and own interests as said by Walid Jumblat: "look forward to a secure future without war of others on our land".
All disputes between Israel and Lebanon are workable. Even the Shebbaa farms are nothing more then a pretext used by Hezbollah.
Lebanese PM, who is strongly accusing Israel for destruction, has also acknowledges that a peace agreement is possible if Israel acts smartly.
Israeli public opinion has never seen Lebanon as an enemy state but as a location where enemies chose to attach from.

What other countries in the region should do?
If Lebanon would need Arab support, it is sure to get it from Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and from Turkey.
if "Sunni Arab fold" groups together Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan ... it sounds like a party I would vote for its political manifest!
Go on and make a group hug.

What can be added, is that Israel is conducting a research on diplomatic feasibility for a peace agreement. However, it would be wiser to get to an agreement with Lebanon first, as Lebanon needs an ally who can help it to get away from the grip of Assad.

All conditions for a peace agreement are in place. Sadly, also anti-conditions from sides who are alient to our region.
Egyptian president brings succinctly a crystal clear observation about the Syrian and Iranian conduct.

I dont want to get into details of events that got me to think so..
What do you think?

But one more thing.. I am playing around with an opinion which is an observation that in our region, in a sad way wars that end in a certain no-knock-out-winner could open the eyes of both sides to see the futility of it and the benefit of peaceful coexistance.

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